YESTERDAY: 5-0 (+50 units)
MARCH: 20-16-2 (+31 units)
ALL TIME: 40-34-3 (+79.3 units)
RECAP: 11 straight hits going into the 2nd day of March Madness. That has to be a record somewhere. Northwestern and Arizona could have easily gone the other way, so there is always luck involved. Our luck had to change after that terrible start to the month. We will stay smart and collected. Here are my day 2 picks.
NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES +11.5 at Baylor Bears
11:40am central
(11 units wagered, 10 units won)
The Aggies aren't going to beat you from deep which is one thing you are looking for in a upset game. That being said there are a couple other things at play here that make me believe New Mexico State will cover. New Mexico State sits at 10th in free throw rate in the country. This team is going to get to the line. Baylor relies heavily on Johnathan Motley. I look for the Aggies to attack him early and see if they can get him in foul trouble. Also what they lack in three point shooting ability they make up for by getting to the foul line, as well as making their two point shots. They are 22nd in the nation at 2 point offense. Both teams turn the ball over more than we would like, but with New Mexico State's small ball lineup they have one of the best transition defenses in the country. I don't know if The Aggies can win this one, but they should definitely cover.
RHODE ISLAND RAMS -1 at Creighton Blue Jays
3:30pm central
(11 units wagered, 10 units won)
In the tournament it is always fun to have big time players on your side. E.C Matthews is a big time player. In fact he will be the only big time player in this game due to Creighton losing Mo Watson earlier in the season. Kenpom has these teams pretty evenly matched. In a evenly matched game in the tournament, I look for the best player on the court to take over. This should be a close one but I think the Rams come out on top.
MARQUETTE GOLDEN EAGLES +1 at South Carolina Gamecocks
8:50pm central
(11 units wagered, 10 units won)
These teams sit right next to each other in the Kenpom but have two completely different styles of play. South Carolina looks to suffocate you with their defense, while Marquette looks to out score you with their offense. This game should be close however, if Marquette is able to go on a strong run at at any point, I don't trust the Gamecocks offense to get them back into the game. Take the Golden Eagles tonight as their offense soars past the Gamecocks.
Kent State Golden Flashes at UCLA BRUINS -18.5
8:57pm central
(11 units wagered, 10 units won)
Lonzo Ball, Lonzo Ball, Lonzo Ball. UCLA scores 90 a game, way more than everyone else. UCLA should be able to win by atleast 20.
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