YESTERDAY: 3-2 (+8 units)
MARCH: 33-30-3 (+7 units)
ALL TIME: 53-48-4 (+55.3 units)

RECAP: Last outing we were able to make some units. I really thought Florida would be able to beat South Carolina no problem. We did get lucky on Kentucky, so I guess it's a fair tradeoff. Nothing seemed great yesterday so we took the day off. Today the NBA has a couple picks for us to make, along with one pick in the NIT semifinals.

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets OVER 233.5
7pm central
(11 units wagered, 10 units won)

Threes, Threes, Threes. These two teams love to shoot threes. Combined these two average over 70 shots per game from beyond the arc. The Rockets easily went over this spread last game against OKC and I expect them to come out firing once again. Houston also allows the 6th most points per game in the NBA. Any way you look at it, there are going to be a lot points. 233.5 is a high number, but I am confident these teams will hit that mark. Take the over tonight and watch the threes rain.


TCU Horned Frogs at UCF KNIGHTS +2.5
8pm central
(11 units wagered, 10 units won)

At first glance one might think TCU should be the pick for this game. They are rated higher in the Kenpom ratings. TCU has a decent offense and defense. When you look further you will find that one category sticks out. UCF is 17th in that nation in adjusted defensive efficiency. One thing I have learned from watching South Carolina in the NCAA Tournament is that defense wins you big time games. If your shots aren't falling, you still can win a game if you have the defense to stop the other team. UCF will lock the Horned Frogs down tonight.


Denver Nuggets at PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -2
9pm central
(11 units wagered, 10 units won)

These two teams are battling for the eighth seed in the West, a spot that Portland currently holds. They are on their home floor with a opportunity to make the gap one game wider in the standings. Portland has won 6 of their last 7 and Damian Lillard has looked like a man on a mission. He has had more than 20 points in each of his last twelve games. He was under 25 points in only four of those twelve. I expect Lillard to be in attack mode early. Denver won't be able to stop it. Take Portland here in this race for the final playoff spot. On a side note, these two teams made a interesting trade this season. Should be fun to watch those players go at their old teams.